2025-11-01 · 1 min read
Machines Paying Machines: SignalRelay and x402
Privy-authorized agents pay $0.01 USDC on Base for Bayesian Polymarket signals. Usage-based machine commerce with no API keys or subscriptions.
The economic loop
SignalRelay is a provider agent that earns USDC by selling Bayesian trading edge. A consumer agent spends USDC to hire it: one human approval via Privy, then autonomous micropayments over HTTP.
Human → approve once → Consumer Agent (Privy TEE wallet)
→ GET /api/trade/1/rationale
→ 402 Payment Required ($0.01 USDC, Base Sepolia)
→ Privy signs → x402 facilitator settles
→ 200 OK: trade rationale JSON
Why not let the LLM pick prices?
The LLM only labels news sentiment. Python computes a deterministic Bayesian posterior. Edge = posterior − market-implied prior. That separation is the core design: uncalibrated LLM price predictions are terrible; calibrated Bayesian math isn't.
Verified on-chain
Live demo confirms wallet debited exactly $0.01 USDC per call with on-chain settlement on Base Sepolia.
Takeaway
Downstream trading agents need probabilistic edge, not subscriptions. x402 plus Privy shows per-signal machine commerce works today.
Related project
SignalRelay / Alphanet Core
Polymarket signal oracle that sells its Bayesian edge for $0.01 USDC per call, settled on Base via x402 and Privy-authorized agents.